Description

This analysis provides a forecast of RIOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-27 4.652400 5.292088 5.995943 6.829215 7.790519 8.866770 10.165873
2025-05-04 3.891795 4.748805 5.766331 7.068722 8.698910 10.681609 13.290399
2025-05-11 3.252297 4.174160 5.330660 6.898039 8.982141 11.679270 15.468432
2025-05-18 2.828607 3.781583 5.031738 6.807240 9.288906 12.671103 17.692370
2025-05-25 2.510325 3.474797 4.789303 6.733042 9.570168 13.615886 19.922206
2025-06-01 2.243019 3.200589 4.550151 6.618072 9.754946 14.413000 22.000113
2025-06-08 2.014873 2.954073 4.318036 6.476117 9.865912 15.088779 23.946155
2025-06-15 1.925985 2.900274 4.357770 6.738543 10.610804 16.802651 27.741380
2025-06-22 1.801954 2.779126 4.280294 6.803854 11.040011 18.046643 30.897524
2025-06-29 1.669629 2.631630 4.145730 6.758901 11.274859 18.981644 33.618718
2025-07-06 1.546071 2.486536 4.000470 6.678387 11.434202 19.793287 36.203587
2025-07-13 1.488282 2.443478 4.017043 6.871768 12.086573 21.537582 40.744472
2025-07-20 1.422790 2.383375 4.001909 7.012009 12.665540 23.227217 45.443498
2025-07-27 1.380329 2.358902 4.045202 7.260186 13.469467 25.430135 51.485057
2025-08-03 1.275829 2.216791 3.868876 7.084658 13.442641 26.009918 54.210062
2025-08-10 1.193516 2.107802 3.742821 6.991200 13.564289 26.894406 57.705745
2025-08-17 1.121133 2.011231 3.631452 6.914815 13.709983 27.839519 61.460615
2025-08-24 1.049649 1.910917 3.505024 6.796456 13.755239 28.573439 64.825431
2025-08-31 0.980861 1.810677 3.370989 6.650323 13.725784 29.138888 67.864183
2025-09-07 0.966676 1.813932 3.436954 6.920479 14.620003 31.853390 76.556437
2025-09-14 0.930178 1.770834 3.407923 6.987718 15.071790 33.609677 83.095765
2025-09-21 0.884173 1.705583 3.329425 6.941438 15.261019 34.770581 88.254823
2025-09-28 0.837806 1.636436 3.237919 6.858548 15.356638 35.716179 92.976945